Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 5.358602 6.109187 6.937328 7.920513 9.058143 10.335680 11.882661
2025-03-30 4.375006 5.354311 6.521354 8.020987 9.905991 12.208731 15.252977
2025-04-06 3.713770 4.785626 6.137043 7.978445 10.441277 13.648363 18.184482
2025-04-13 3.230529 4.338854 5.801240 7.891251 10.832857 14.871851 20.917701
2025-04-20 2.969250 4.135573 5.737410 8.125923 11.644810 16.713314 24.702618
2025-04-27 2.740326 3.940906 5.649243 8.294602 12.354828 18.461413 28.551138
2025-05-04 2.585891 3.830104 5.659428 8.593397 13.272595 20.602735 33.268337
2025-05-11 2.328785 3.536826 5.363214 8.382023 13.358351 21.434434 35.945561
2025-05-18 2.131601 3.314126 5.149319 8.270018 13.577991 22.487362 39.107815
2025-05-25 1.965010 3.122660 4.963748 8.179122 13.812357 23.574956 42.452098
2025-06-01 1.808932 2.933313 4.762477 8.037328 13.935668 24.469504 45.540290
2025-06-08 1.664167 2.749703 4.553330 7.858293 13.967497 25.191639 48.377318
2025-06-15 1.617603 2.729895 4.622536 8.183122 14.962499 27.828784 55.410023
2025-06-22 1.537812 2.645488 4.571535 8.283109 15.544364 29.743662 61.246924
2025-06-29 1.443871 2.527863 4.450535 8.238529 15.837622 31.116370 66.121146
2025-07-06 1.352460 2.407211 4.313341 8.148160 16.026627 32.292400 70.723878
2025-07-13 1.313514 2.379683 4.345625 8.391205 16.920191 35.044720 79.337275
2025-07-20 1.268465 2.336806 4.344602 8.565920 17.687222 37.613549 87.917134
2025-07-27 1.242187 2.327475 4.406900 8.875441 18.777189 41.031504 99.130175
2025-08-03 1.158595 2.200054 4.226214 8.656476 18.672268 41.699850 103.461748
2025-08-10 1.092726 2.103030 4.099031 8.540455 18.787552 42.897103 109.368389
2025-08-17 1.034155 2.016518 3.986649 8.446305 18.942769 44.207320 115.790771
2025-08-24 0.974883 1.924464 3.855941 8.299441 18.957365 45.171361 121.406801